Dr. Michael Morrongiello
Psychologist and Steuben County Landowner
Falsifiability is the idea that an allegation or theory ought to be capable of being tested but no such rule seems to apply to climate change theorists or fracking opponents determined to assert what hasn’t happened.
Rejoice – humanity is safe from global warming! Two prominent climate scientists, Judith Curry and Marcia Wyatt, writing in the highly respected peer-reviewed journal Climate Dynamics, say that world surface temperatures have not increased since 1997. Some climate scientists call this a “pause” in global warming – a pause which is predicted to continue into the 2030’s.
Curry and Wyatt found that the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) vastly overestimated global temperature increases, underestimated the role of natural cycles, and exaggerated the role of greenhouse gases. Watt and Curry say the IPCC computer models are wrong:
“The growing divergence between climate model simulations and observations raises the prospect that climate models are inadequate in fundamental ways.”
In 2007, Al Gore predicted that arctic ice would disappear by 2013. Surprise! Arctic ice increased by almost one-third last year, while South Pole ice is the thickest it’s been in 35 years.
Climate scientists predicted that storms would be more frequent and severe, but the 2013 hurricane season was one of the calmest in 40 years. IPCC scientists have also discovered that parts of the world were just as warm between 950 and 1250 A.D. (long before the Industrial Revolution) as they are today.
The theory was that “climate change” (they stopped calling it global warming because, well, the earth isn’t warming) is caused by humans burning fossil fuels which emit carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, trapping heat.
Scientific theories are built to explain observable facts and make predictions. If CO2 is responsible for warming, where’s the warming?
Scientific philosopher Karl Proper said that all scientific theories should be falsifiable; that is to say one should be able to prove them wrong if they are wrong and, therefore, they must subject to re-examination and the possibility of being disproved by new information. If this theory is a dog, it won’t hunt. It’s been under the porch since 1997 and will stay there until at least the 2030’s.
“Global warming” has been used to frighten and coerce average people into changing their lives. Coal is cheap but if, coal-fired electrical plants are shut down, we’ll have higher home heating and electricity costs. Obama and Cuomo have thrown our hard-earned money at “green energy” companies like Solyndra. Solyndra went bankrupt selling solar panels nobody wanted, to prevent a problem that doesn’t exist.
More critical to upstate New Yorkers, “global warming” seems to be a major reason for Cuomo’s refusal to lift the ban on fracking, based, he says, on science. After Hurricane Sandy, Cuomo said “climate change is a reality.” In reality, the science says climate change isn’t a demonstrated reality; but poverty, misery and unemployment in the Southern Tier certainly are. With one leg of the fracking ban gone, Cuomo can demonstrate political courage and leadership by defying the environmental extremists in his base and ending the ban on fracking which, ironically, has lowered carbon emissions.
Editor’s Note: Even if Cuomo wanted to continue to espouse support for fighting climate change, he ought to be smart enough to know conversion to natural gas reduces carbon emissions by more than almost any other policy he could undertake and Tony Ingraffea’s methane emissions theory has already been falsified.