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Things I Hope Happen in 2017 in the Natural Gas World

PennFuture - Tom ShepstoneTom Shepstone
Natural Gas NOW

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Few years, in my life, have been as unusual as 2016. Will 2017 be the same? It’s a good bet but there are some things we can hope will happen in natural gas.

I never make New Year’s resolutions and make a point of never reading predictions. Resolutions are for the naive and predictions are for the pretentious. I prefer to just hop and pray for certain things. Among these, of course, are numerous hopes related to the world of natural gas. Let me, at the risk of being both naive and pretentious, share a few of them.

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Worried About Russian Gas? Then Get Fracking!

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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Russian gas is moving into Europe and the UK because both have been slow to the draw on fracking. Energy security depends upon both finally getting to it.

UK and EU natural gas this winter is increasingly supplied not by US LNG as some had predicted, but by slight increases in North Sea production from both the UK and Norway sectors and, for the first time, entry via a long involved supply chain of Russian gas.

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“No Fracking Anywhere” Doesn’t Help the Earth; It Hurts It!

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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Ill-informed fractivists shouting “No Fracking Anywhere” or “Keep It in the Ground” do nothing to help the Earth; rather, their stupid slogans only hurt it.

Today, Ryedale Against Fracking and others are protesting in London to support the Friends of the Earth case against North Yorkshire County Council’s approval of the Third Energy project to use fracking on a 20-year old current “conventional” gas well pad.

They started with a demonstration outside chanting “No Fracking in North Yorkshire. No Fracking Anywhere.” Some of these protestors are evidently merely selfish, content to displace gas production to others while happy to ignore their own consumption. Others mistakenly see more natural gas production as part of a wider issue that makes it harmful for climate change.

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What Part of Shale Inevitability Don’t You Understand?

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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The global shale revolution has moved so far, and so fast, past the dreams of the industry and the objections of its enemies that time has yet to catch up.

The key lesson of the past 15 years for energy was how the sleepy, if vitally important, field of energy economics was disrupted so thoroughly and so quickly.  Comparisons have been made between shale and the internet. Both are often described as “paradigm shifts”, ‘disruptors’ or simply as inflection points.  The internet, in only twenty or so years has changed everything.  It made entire industries irrelevant and killed off some entirely. The Kodak moment for shale was slow in coming but it’s finally here. Almost no one, apart from Peter Strachan in Oil Voice recently, still can’t get how the industry of today makes expertise of yesterday increasingly irrelevant. 

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Do Fractivists Prefer Slave Labor to Fracking?

SolarCity - Tom Shepstone ReportsTom Shepstone
Shepstone Management Company, Inc.

 

A former Greenpeace leader, of all people, says fractivists seem to prefer getting their energy from slave labor to admitting fracking is the answer.

There is nothing like a convert to spread the truth and Stephen Tindale is the latest of fractivists to come over from the dark side. He was the executive director of Greenpeace UK from 2001–2006 and is the founder of an environmental think-tank called Climate Answers. He now rejects the views of fractivists, asking “if they would really prefer to get their power from slave labor rather than fracking.” It’s a great question and, because we already know the answer for most of those fractivists, it reveals the moral bankruptcy of their lot.

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Shale Revolution Yields Golden Age of Cleaner, Cheaper Energy

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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The shale revolution is delivering cleaner, cheaper energy all over the world, including India, via the leverage our LNG potential now offers.

There’s a great natural gas story brewing in India.  Since there were 1.4 million British Indians in the 2011 census, and not many are members of the Friends of the Earth judging by this from their website.

We are keen to encourage applications from people currently under-represented in the environment movement, for example, black and minority ethnic people, and women in senior positions.

The natural gas industry is missing a trick in explaining not only the advantages of shale to this important community, but other families as well. They certainly won’t hear it from Friends of the Earth or other anti-gas groups.

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Puny Josh Fox Event Illustrates We’ve Reached “Peak Protest”

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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Josh Fox tried reviving a fading career by attaching himself to UK fractivists, doing a BBC interview that blew up and showed we’ve reached “peak protest.”

A great piece directed towards the gas and industry audience this week in Upstream Online. Some highlights:

The UK government’s decision to overturn local council objections to shale gas drilling in the north of England is a significant step forward for the industry….

Although the issue was quickly investigated, the shale debate has been dominated in the intervening period, largely by critics from environmental groups and local communities.

That has made it hard for local councils to give go-aheads, even if they felt minded to on the basis of jobs and other benefits.

A new post-Brexit vote national government, however, has the headwind to make bold decisions.

It has already given the green light to a controversial new nuclear plant at Hinkley Point and has now moved to face down the anti-frackers by siding with Cuadrilla Resources in Lancashire….

The UK shale industry now has clear and unequivocal backing from the government and should be able to proceed with new wells.

But the battle to win public acceptance is far from won.

In the upstream industry, below ground risk is geological, and we’re  gradually peeling away the layers. Resource assessments from the best in the field,  De Golyer Mac Naughton for Igas (a comparatively small player in UK shale) are certain to attract attention in the investment sector.

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Why Does Food & Water Watch Hate Poor People and Women?

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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Nick Grealy nails the apparent hate Food & Water Watch has for poor people and women by wanting to condemn them to dependence on biomass energy.

US pipeline protestors such as Sandra Steingraber not only pretend that slowing down LNG export infrastructure somehow saves the earth. They also pretend it is a battle than empowers people in less developed countries in general and women in particular.  They really need to be confronted with the consequences of their actions: Banning fracking kills women.  Here’s how.  It’s complicated Sandra, but one has to go to real women with real problems, not rich American narcissists who are convinced they alone have the solutions to make women’s lives matter.

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Ohio Shale Experience Is the Future for UK?

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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The Ohio shale experience suggests how development of the UK’s Bowland Shale may go and the future is looking pretty darned good.

A lot has advanced in the six years since Cuadrilla Resources revealed their estimate of 200 TCF in natural gas reserves for their section of the Bowland Shale back in 2010. Sadly, the UK debate hasn’t been one of them. Yet. But the time is coming.  Back in 2010, people saw shale as a flash in the pan. It was, of course, the biggest bang to hit energy markets since the light bulb. Yet, the UK debate still uses outdated economics, 2010 flow rates and 2010 energy policy concerns. Shale is still “controversial.” Meanwhile, in the US, the unconventional is the new normal, 70% or higher of 2016 production and nowhere is it more conventional than in Ohio.

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U.S. Shale Turns Scots Into Great Pretenders

LNG - Nick Grealy ReportsNick Grealy
Administrator of NoHotAir/ReImagineGas Blog

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U.S. shale gas shipped to Scotland in the form of LNG is sustaining a manufacturing economy there and making hypocrites of Scottish fractivists.

Sometime this month, the first ethane shipment from U.S. shale is coming to the UK, ironically to Scotland to be used as feedstock at the Ineos Grangemouth facility.

It raises the same questions for the no shale anywhere school that have already arisen over imports of U.S. shale oil and U.S. LNG from shale already arrived in Spain and Portugal. U.S. LNG will be headed to the UK and Belgium soon enough. It will be hard to propose no shale development be permitted anywhere when it’s already lurking in the water heater.

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